In response to Patrick Ruffini's post earlier this week.....

I think that there is a more fundamental change in conservative attitudes toward McCain than this post would indicate, which is demonstrated by the endorsement of leading conservative voices, including many conservative statesmen and leading newspapers.

I think this is more of a re-evaluation of McCain than a mere confluence of events, though the confluence has undoubtedly helped. True, there does seem to be a hesitancy to attack McCain. And, true, this scenario (McCain's ascendancy) was always plausible because of weaknesses in the other candidates. I, too, at one point thought that Fred Thompson was the greatest danger to McCain's campaign.

But, I think, at core, many conservatives are experiencing a re-evaluation akin to what I experienced. In 2000, I strongly disliked McCain. A conservative, and a strong social conservative at that, I had heard a few statements McCain had made and had become convinced that he was somehow against my values, or even against me, as a social conservative.
 

This election cycle, having paid about 1000X more attention than I ever paid in 2000, I have gotten the chance to evaluate the candidates, not only on their positions, but also on their character. And, starting from a position of dislike, I came to very deeply respect Senator McCain and, eventually, to endorse him. Had I paid anything near the amount of attention in 2000 that I am paying in 2008, I would probably even have voted for him over George Bush.
 

I think McCain is benefiting from the increased scrutiny that candidates have had to face in this race as well as a strong distaste for negativity and a suspicious attitude toward deception that has developed among the electorate. Thus, the problem for some of the candidates. Thompson could have fit the conservative mold but underperformed. Romney crosses every t and dots every i, but there are very serious questions as to whether any of his positions are believable. Huckabee is a great guy and, I think, McCain's biggest challenger, but there are undoubtedly people that question his conservative credentials as well. Giuliani is much less conservative than McCain and, worse for him, has altered some of his positions recently.

The GOP electorate (maybe not the insiders or the power-brokers or the party bosses, but the people who actually make up the electorate) has changed. Many more conservatives would hesitate to declare someone "anathema" because they admit that global warming might, just might be a problem, for example. I know there are some differences that parts of the base have with McCain (though I don't think they are as severe as some would make them out to be), but I am convinced that part of the reason for a lingering distrust is that, to some, McCain just doesn't seem conservative. He doesn't seem to fit the mold. And I think and hope that this election cycle we will evalutate candidates on more than what image they seem to project. And, considering everything, I think McCain is a solid conservative and a good man.

I also think John McCain's elecability shouldn't be underestimated. He is the only candidate whose electability even comes close to rivaling the democratic candidates (Everyone else, yes, even Giuliani, is mired in the 30s!) and the poll numbers gel with what I have heard from moderates and even liberals who respect McCain because of his character and with the fact that McCain tends to attract large numbers of independents, which will be HUGE in the 2008 election. To compare McCain to Kerry (who was from the more liberal wing of his party and was was attacked for flip-flopping) makes no sense. McCain has been forthright with his positions and plays well with independents and, I think, will with conservatives, too.